J Austral Math Soc Ser B 35 pp207--222, 1993.
(Received 5 August 1991; revised 24 March 1992)
An improved model of water cresting towards horizontal wells is presented, using a hodograph solution to the lateral edge drive model with a constant potential boundary at a finite outer radius. In this model, the water crest tends to a horizontal asymptote far from the well, correcting previous approaches which led to the unphysical result of a crest which never levels off but, rather, tends to a parabolic curve. The hodograph solution yields the shape of the free water-oil interface. It also yields integral representations for the lengths of boundary segments, and these have enabled the derivation of an explicit expression for the critical rate in terms of the outer radius. The critical rates calculated using the improved model do not differ significantly from those calculated using previous approaches. The main advantage of the model, therefore, is not a correction to the quantitative predictions of the critical rate, but the removal of physical inconsistencies in the underlying theory.