Based on the PCA-ARIMA-BP hybrid model of stock price prediction research

Hua Luo, Shuang Wang

Abstract


A PCA-ARIMA-BP hybrid model is proposed to study the Shanghai Composite Index. The model is based on principle component analysis (PCA), autoregressive integrated moving average model (ARIMA), and backward propagation (BP) neural network. We use data mining methods to select data. BP neural network, PCA-BP model and PCA-ARIMA-BP hybrid model prediction results are compared. The results show that the PCA-ARIMA-BP hybrid model can effectively improve the prediction precision. This can guide investors to avoid risks and improve benefit.

Keywords


PCA-ARIMA-BP hybrid model; the Shanghai Composite Index; risk-averse

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DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.21914/anziamj.v58i0.10991



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ANZIAM Journal, ISSN 1446-8735, copyright Australian Mathematical Society.